Modi’s Rare China Trip Raises Global Questions
Photo Credit :- cnn
For the first time since 2018, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is set to travel to China to attend a major Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit hosted by President Xi Jinping. This move comes just days after US President Donald Trump imposed a hefty 50% tariff on Indian imports, sparking concerns about a shift in India’s strategic priorities.
The timing of this visit has drawn attention worldwide. Only five years ago, India and China clashed violently in the Galwan Valley, leading to the death of soldiers on both sides. Now, Modi and Xi could meet with a handshake, signaling a potential thaw in relations.
Why the US Should Be Concerned
Washington has spent years cultivating India as a counterweight to China in the Indo-Pacific region. Through joint military exercises, defense technology transfers, and strategic cooperation in the Quad (India, US, Japan, and Australia), the US positioned New Delhi as a critical partner.
However, Trump’s protectionist approach – particularly tariffs targeting India’s trade and oil imports from Russia – has created friction. Analysts warn that losing India’s trust could be one of the biggest strategic setbacks for Washington.
India-China Relations: From Brotherhood to Rivalry
Photo Credit :- theweek
India and China’s relationship has swung dramatically over the decades:
| Phase | India-China Relations | Key Events |
|---|---|---|
| 1950s | Brotherhood & Asian solidarity | India recognized PRC early |
| 1962 | War & mistrust | Sino-Indian war left scars |
| 2000s | Growing trade & economic ties | Surge in bilateral trade |
| 2020 | Border clash & hostility | Galwan Valley deaths |
| 2025 | Strategic recalibration | Modi’s China visit after US tariffs |
While tensions remain, both sides recognize that economic cooperation is crucial. Last year alone, bilateral trade hit $118 billion, making China India’s second-largest trading partner.
The Balancing Act: SCO vs. Quad
Modi’s presence at the SCO Summit alongside leaders from Russia, Pakistan, and Central Asia highlights India’s policy of strategic autonomy. At the same time, New Delhi continues to engage deeply with the Quad, which is viewed as a democratic response to Beijing’s influence in Asia.
This dual engagement shows India’s intent to balance competing interests – strengthening trade with China without fully turning its back on the US.
Economic Necessity vs. Security Concerns
India’s industries rely heavily on Chinese imports of electronics, raw materials, and intermediate goods. This economic dependence explains why Modi may be willing to soften ties, even while border tensions remain unresolved.
Recently, both countries agreed on steps to maintain “peace and tranquility” at the border. However, with thousands of troops still stationed along disputed areas, analysts warn that trust remains fragile.
What Lies Ahead for India-China Relations
Photo Credit :- carnegieendowment
The future of the India-China relationship depends on whether both sides can manage competition without letting it spiral into conflict. As analysts note, this is not a complete reset – India is not “done with America.” Instead, it is a pragmatic recalibration to safeguard national interests.
If Modi’s visit results in meaningful agreements on trade and border management, India may achieve a more stable, albeit competitive, relationship with China – a shift that could reshape Asia’s power balance.
